FIFA WORLD CUP 2026 · LIVE
48 nations. 104 matches. All pre-modeled.
Calibrated 1X2 + Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for every match. Live qualification probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. Walk-forward validated across 8 prior tournaments.
NATIONS
48
qualified · 6 confederations
GROUPS
12
groups of 4 · top 2 advance
MATCHES
104
72 group · 32 knockout
LAUNCHES IN
—
June 11, 2026
What you get
Tournament-grade analytics. Group stage to final.
All 104 matches modeled
Pre-match calibrated 1X2 + O/U 2.5 probabilities for group stage and knockout. Updated as fixtures unfold.
Live qualification odds
Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 times after each matchday. See each nation’s real-time path probabilities.
Weekly recaps + calibration
Post-matchday report with calibration check (ECE / Brier), surprise matches, and recalibration if needed.
Group standings
12 groups, 48 nations.
Monte Carlo probabilities
Probability to lift the cup.
Schedule