48 nations. 104 matches. All pre-modelled.
Calibrated 1X2 and Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for every match. Live qualification probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. Walk-forward validated across eight prior tournaments.
Tournament-grade analytics. Group stage to final.
All 104 matches modelled
Pre-match calibrated 1X2 and Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for the group stage and every knockout fixture.
Live qualification probabilities
Monte Carlo simulation re-run after each matchday so every nation’s path probability stays current.
Weekly calibration recap
Post-matchday report with ECE / Brier tracking, surprise matches, and the public reliability diagram.
12 groups, 48 nations.
Probability to lift the cup.
Upcoming matches.
Ready for kickoff?
Pass CdM 2026 — active June 11 → July 19. One-shot, no recurring charge, methodology and track record public.
Get Pass CdM 2026 — $49Be informed before you decide.
We're not a tipster service. Here's what calibrated football analytics actually means — and what it doesn't.
Not a tipster service
We sell calibrated probabilities, not winning bets. No system promises ROI.
Markets are smart
Closing market odds remain better calibrated than ours on average. We focus on transparency, not edge.
Past ≠ future
Past performance does not guarantee future results. ECE 0.026 historical does not mean every prediction is right.
Squad rotations exist
World Cup matches involve fitness uncertainty, rotations, and emotional factors harder to model than club football.
Code · JSON outputs · Methodology · All public