Track Record

Public, weekly updated performance.

LAST UPDATED · APR 27, 2026NEXT UPDATE · MAY 4, 2026WINDOW · 8 PAST TOURNAMENTS

0.000ECE 1X2National teams

0.000ECE O/U 2.5National teams

0.00Brier scoreAccuracy

Performance by market

1X2 and Over/Under 2.5.

Match outcome

ECE

0.029

Brier

0.21

Log-loss

1.04

Tournaments

Total goals

ECE

0.023

Brier

0.18

Log-loss

0.97

Tournaments

National teams engine

Average ECE 1X2: 0.029 · Average ECE O/U 2.5: 0.023.

Tournament	Matches	ECE 1X2	Brier	Log-loss
World Cup 2010	64	0.031	0.22	1.07
Euro 2012	31	0.029	0.21	1.04
World Cup 2014	64	0.028	0.20	1.02
Euro 2016	51	0.030	0.21	1.05
World Cup 2018	64	0.028	0.20	1.03
Euro 2020	51	0.029	0.21	1.04
World Cup 2022	64	0.027	0.20	1.02
Euro 2024	51	0.030	0.21	1.05

Calibration plot

Audit it yourself

Every match prediction since launch, with timestamp, predicted distribution, and realized outcome. Published unedited every Sunday.